The House Republican Leadership’s debt ceiling suspension
vote today is politically savvy but is a legislative stunt. Speaker John
Boehner (R-OH) has only accomplished in furthering his obligation to the most
conservative in his conference. At the slightest hint that the deal that
results from this suspension does not pass the conservative litmus test there
will be revolt.
This bill is a legislative stunt in contrast with the
House GOP conference’s desire to return to regular order. This bill was not
spawned from regular order; there were no committee meetings. This is a bill
handed down by House Republican leadership without debate, including the unlikelihood
of an open rule when the bill comes to the floor.
House conservatives will likely vote for this debt
ceiling suspension bill today so Speaker Boehner is likely to get a majority of
the majority. Approving this bill places conservatives in a position to walk
away from their leadership if the legislative process works its way to a
compromise with the US Senate that they find unacceptable. This was on full
display yesterday when Rep. David Schweikert (R-AZ) said, “We’ll always play
great with the team when we’re doing what’s conservative.” Further, this vote
today will embolden House conservatives to shutdown the federal government in
February.
As to sequester, House conservatives have realigned their
line in the sand away from preserving defense spending and placed it squarely
on the $974 billion in sequester spending cuts with the intent to have a
balanced budget in ten years. So conservatives are ready to re-sequence spending
cuts as long as the cuts equal $974 billion; this demonstrates a willingness to
make defense cuts but likely would require budget cuts to
mandatory spending.
There remain House conservatives wary of today’s debt
ceiling suspension vote but on the whole conservatives see this as a vote they
must take in order to apply pressure on their leadership later.
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